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Drummond Geometry Pipes Indicator

A chartist can decide to go with a stock technical analysis course or personal study can be their method of learning. Many chartists have the argument "follow the other fellow... He probably knows more about the fundamentals than I do." Most chartists follow the tenet is "the trend continues until it stops." Many chartists try predicting a move in the trends. Chartists are famous for making spectacular profits one week and then they lose big time the next time. The chartist is always concerned with his ability to realize when a trend reversal or a congestion area is starting . A chartist is happy as long as trends continue on. In figuring out whether a trend is going to reverse , or there is activity in a congestion area or any trend problem, then the chartist gets upset .


Chartists are quite the characters . Those wiggle waggles really get chartists off. What often occurs to a chartist is that the trees block out the forest . And, the chartist's bag of tools is never over-filled until the end when all the information and the systems end up blocking their thinking.

He looks on unreceptively and blankly for many hours at a chart , not knowing what his chart is telling him . His major fault here is that he/she looks towards the charts to tell him what prices are doing , instead of telling his requirements to the charts.

A suggestion to use: When chartists come out of the fog , they need to take time and write down the request from their chart . Charts are like computers with information and facts, and just like with a computer , one must punch in what one wishes the computer to start to tell him , and the criteria that is by , and, only with a preprogrammed trading plan can this be done. The very first requirement a chartist has is that he has a plan for trading and that from the chart he gets criteria that will work along with the plan he has. Investing in a stock technical analysis course is sound advice .

Support & Resistance


Most successful chartists are

* a) not as likely to take a position that is long
* b) are quite likely before receiving margin calls to close out a position .
* c) less likely to put up additional margin if they do receive a margin call
* d) more likely to trade in a larger number of commodities and to pyramid their profits .

A Chartist that is not successful

* a) is likely to let losses run and cut short profits
* b) more likely to be long than to be short
* c) often sell on days prices rise and purchase on days when prices decline. Price level traders is what this action shows these chartists to be.

There is no track record possible on chart readers in general , but on a specific chartist a track record is possible . Unless chartists allow track records to be done on them, you can't take the claims they make seriously. Few would doubt that formation "head and shoulder.". However , one man's reversal signal will be another's flag continuation pattern . Usually , if a chartist is vindicated usually the decisions he made in the market were merely luck . The trader is more painfully aware that stock technical analysis course competence does not insure competent trading . Chartists who lose money don't always lose because their analysis was off but instead because they couldn't turn it into good practice . Bridging the vital gap between analysis and action means they have to eliminate the threats of hope, fear, and greed. May I suggest that it means controlling impatience and abandoning a sound method for a new one, especially when adversity is temporarily occurring .

Long Term Charting

Stock Technical Analysis Course - Some Strengths of Charting


A stock technical analysis course will help you learn that if you make it through commodity trading for one, two, or even four years you will see every price pattern you will ever see ( look at that again ). All the rest of repetition of those patterns . When it comes to trading in commodities one interesting thing is that as you watch markets move up , and you see other markets which are resting down at the bottom , (the end of bear markets) you can say to yourself " they'll be the next ones to go up ." Of course, Without doubt, they eventually start the cycle over , some working from the top down and some working from the bottom up. All markets will one day cease to move down in price and then each will move sideways for a while and then advance in price . One day there is always an end to bear markets in commodities , and there's always an end to bull markets .

What I have just gone through shows an approach that is long term and philosophical to market price analysis . Basically , if in the past year or so the market prices have gone down , the bear market is coming to an end , and sometime the commodities will begin rising once again. You don't even need a chart to realize this . But when you analyze charts with a stock technical analysis course, it's easy to see the bear market coming to an end and a trader can figure out their position.

It is impossible to trade on the assumption that by being aware of general movements of prices by reading this in the news or just thinking about those movements, that this may enable you on the medium to long term basis to assume prices and the way they move. In most cases you cannot restrict limits on losses with this approach once you enter the market , due to an adverse price movement or after profits have been accumulated. Most people in an up market that don't use charting , for example, are taken by surprise by a bear trend or a bear crack . Chart analysis is so important to protect profits and avoid losses ! Take a stock technical analysis course before you get involved with money.

Marking Major Market Top


Stock Technical Analysis Course - The Weakness of Charting


It must be pointed out that as there are more and more market participants any attempt to predicate every action on chart rules , self created fluctuations in price can occur as an affect of all these actions which may take all chart techniques and make them virtually useless.

As a chartist, you have lots of company . There are many others that are charting all the same things you chart . When a big move is predicted, you are liable to have a lot of the same orders as yours hitting the trading pits . In particular , the placing of stop-loss orders at identical points by hundreds of chartists , may create false penetrations of trend lines and other formations . Charting is a science that proves to be at least somewhat inexact, even for those who have a stock technical analysis course to help them out.

You can use about the scale your chart is on and whether the closing price or the mid-price is what you use. To plot price movements , there can be a distortion to either. The latter is the one used more frequently, but since it happens at the end of the day a lot of profit taking and more is associated with it . In addition, chaos can occur to the charts because of events that are unforeseeable or changing.

Charting is to some extent a lazy approach . The sheet of paper with a neat looks appeals to many who are weaker. Who have no time or inclination to delve deeper . Most feel it's more productive to look at all the variations. As technical analysis becomes more poplar and many begin taking a stock technical analysis course, this can defeat its purpose, especially in a market that is "thin" .

You must understand that if enough traders are trading a commodity using usual chart interpretations , the price of the commodity will be influenced in the direction chartists expect prices to move . Chart followers are able to prove right their own theories. Although pure chartists don't want to know the fundamentals , combining futures trading taking from both strategies is what a wise trader will try. No chart formation is completely reliable . One must seek confirmation from other indicators , such as changes in production from year to year, variation in business cycles , and deviations in sums that are quantifiable, such as commodity prices, brought down to a single summary figure to show all the activities.

In many cases a commodity goes totally opposite of basic considerations due to a variety of different factors . To thrive chartists must be ready to do a lot of work and study and to become experienced . Charting is an art because of the technician's finesses, skill, and experience. These are no doubt profitable trading basic ingredients for success . A technician has to check, and check again .

Another problem from charting is from the idea that while the speculator knows all the commodity situation facts other professionals and trading houses know these very same facts.

However, certain events can occur unexpectedly and can affect every trader. Prices may not have completely discounted these occurrences , and chartists may be caught unawares and there is very little left that can be done to keep your position protected except to recognize quickly these sudden changes and to take action fast . ( Such as all the oranges being lost to a hurricane ).

Technicians are known to make a huge profit in one week and then lose big time the next week . The facts are that prices don't change according to their performance in the past , but you can get an idea on a daily basis if you use P&L charting.

Most systems are indictable when it comes to advisability because a track record is lacking. Any approach must be regarded as unprofitable until proof shows otherwise. To be upfront about it, there is very little objective explicit evidence available to support the commonly accepted rules of chart analysis . Trends are anticipated by various chartists . This is a fallacy . You can't recognize or even assume a non-existent trend . If you want to utilize a trend with the method following, you have to wait until the demonstration of the trend has occurred. Even then, the motto a chartist needs to have is that a trend continues until it stops . Once again , he attempts figuring out the direction of a trend reversal as it happens. This is impossible . One can only be aware of the new trend evolving as it occurs . Most technical systems cannot anticipate a trend or trend reversal .

When a move occurs that wasn't expected, many technicians have to start all over again . After dealing with losses again and again, many traders have abandoned their technical studies since they don't actually work. Because this happens on a regular basis, it continues to show that trading success has no short cuts and no substitutes for experience, knowledge and hard work .

All we know for sure is that prices will fluctuate , but we don't know how much they'll fluctuate .

You're only protected in congestion areas because this area helps to define the loss projections. In congestions, prices fluctuate . Using a technical approach that tries to take congestion areas and analyze them , and evolves a trading method therein , will give the trader and the broker glorious profits , as commodity prices are in congestion , more than 85% of the time in one form or another.

The universal problem known to the professional and novice alike is when they should get out of and get into the market . Due to this, a stock technical analysis course should teach you that technical analysis must to some degree encompass price fluctuations in the short term (Another plug for P&L charting ).












Support & Resistance

Stock Technical Analysis Course - A Look at Various Methods of Trading



Never in my life has something been seen like all these various methods that are appearing for use in price forecasting for commodities. There are many approaches and techniques . Here we'll only briefly look at a few .

There are some that are standard and those I use personally I'll put an asterisk beside. Listed in this chapter there are 36 mentioned ways of price forecasting . This does not take into consideration all the excellent tidbits that come through the revelation of P&L charting technical analysis course.

( P&L charting makes this author happy , because it allows the ability on a daily and intra day basis to quantify price action . There is no other system I know of where the activity of the day is more important than congestion or trend in the way trading prices are going . With P&L charting every day's activity can show the evolution of a congestion or trend, often in just a day . )

Actually, this author is most irritated by those who believe that their resistance index, moving averages, point and figure, volume oscillator , and who knows what all else , - basis, cash , - are the only effective system . And, the one they happen to use is the only effective one and they never have any real use for fundamentals, open interest, wave theories, chart patterns, point and figure, many others, and are blindfolded to the evolution of anyone else's approach . ( Okay . Now I got that out .)

Often these traders do not even use their own systems and at least to me it seems , fight the market all the time. Assuming they have taken a technical analysis course and has a trading plan incorporating several methods of forecasting prices and he puts them together in a way he can get trade profits on a regular basis , then this is one trader you can listen to. In the section on planning , the author will portray his own market place approaches and you will be surprised how flexible he is .

There are three basic methods to analyze the market behavior of commodity prices .

1. fundamental
2. mechanical
3. technical

FUNDAMENTAL

Often the market goes completely contrary to fundamental considerations due to technical and other factors . Fundamental traders are interested in the price movements that are long range and must be prepared to wait it out . Fundamentalists may deny it , but you must take into account too many external factors , like fundamental influences and their natural response , shown in fluctuations that occur each day. So you don't need to seek them out and analyze them.

MECHANICAL

Methods that are mechanical only use price to figure out what action to go with and the trader doesn't have to decide on the action. Three mechanical methods exist .

1. chart
2. computer summaries
3. moving averages

Going through a technical analysis course will teach you to follow the rules of trading faithfully and in most cases it's based on a formula that is mathematical to predict the right time to trade . The computer tells you what a mathematical formula thinks you should do . One of the great things about using the mechanical method is that back checking can be done. Computer oriented methods is usually biased toward the analysis of a mathematical trend,using moving averages and other trading systems . Your computer can become a chart reader and all of the decision rules can be both formulated as well as tested.

TECHNICAL

Over the past years , much work has been done to erect a means of technical tools , - all trying to use trading statistics to anticipate the futures prices, for example, volume, O.I. and price .

When it comes to the technical approach, there are four different areas.
1) price charts and their patterns
2) methods that follow trends
3) character of market analysis
4) structural theories.
For charting, there are a variety of methods . The most popular are :
a. bar charts for high/low/close each day
b. point and figure methodology
c. moving average of closing prices

The list of approaches there are to technical analysis can be cataloged by these approaches that are technical .
1) reading of tape or board
2) price charts being analyzed - which includes the following
a. the price and its trends
b. resistance and support
c. consolidation ( continuation and reversal )
d. price patterns and formations
e. rules of measurement
f. wave theory
3) open interest and volume analysis
4) other technical indicators including the following:
a. measure of the relative performance
b. study of periodic price performance
c. contrary opinion and opinion survey

Later there will be more discussion of this.


Stock Technical Analysis Course Home - Stock Technical Analysis Course



Stock Technical Analysis Course - Describing Moving Averages



The majority of models are based upon moving averages . Some are quite complicated and ingest large numbers of variables . Essentially all models draw a bead on the direction of a trend after it is manifested and will keep traders in this market as long as you don't have a change in the trend. Some types of moving averages try to predict any trend changes. These ones can be lucrative to a good trader who can initiate a recommended position and may be beneath more losing trades.

A stock technical analysis course will teach that the idea behind a moving average ( MA ) is in determining when price direction deviates from recent average prices . If the price that is current stays about the price average of the past 10-100 days the trend spins onwards . Most often observed is the MA of closing prices for 10 days . The benefit of this method is that every day's price is given equal weight . The assumption of the MA is that traders put as much importance on the prices of last week as yesterday's prices .

This doesn't stick to reality . There is a limited horizon for a short term trader. Commodity prices do vibrate more rapidly than the prices of most other investment forms , so, shorter series usually will do the best.

The best MA should :

1) quickly see a big turn in a price trend and not days later
2) ensure that the MA plot is not too close to the daily price plots that we would be whip-sawed in consolidation and minor swings .
3) the moving MA plot has to be adjustable to the commodities volatility .
4) we want responsiveness in the MA plot if the commodity locks limit .

The short comings to this approach lines for MA can be too slow to use as an indication of reversal. Usually , MA technicians have their trading decisions guided by changes that occur in the price market based on the line of MA. The more sensitive the moving average the smaller the advance differential amount and degree will be and the larger the number of sell and buy points , which results in small losses and a whip-saw, taught by a stock technical analysis course.

Of course , the shorter time span there is , the more a trend termination of a reversal can be sensed by the MA. New trends are acted on more quickly and do not need much time to establish themselves . Of course, the sensitivity is paid for by traders because , the shorter the moving average the greater is the number of trades that will be made with greater commissions added to whip-saw losses .

So , when it comes to the price trend turn, there is a delay with moving averages . The delay is usually great than that which occurs when using P&L charting, simple charts, or point and figure charting . The chief advantage of the moving average position is that users are automatically put on board for each trend with substance ( as do all systems of trend following .) More information like this can be obtained from a technical analysis course.







DgTaFan
DgTaFan
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